GuidePost - Halloween Edition
The GRABot BAG
by Sherrie E. Grabot, CEO
October 2005
Killer Auto-Enrollment Robots (Happy Halloween!)
Auto-enrollment, auto-enrollment, and more auto-enrollment. At
the Defined Contribution/401(k) West Coast Conference held in San Francisco
recently, it seemed as if this was all anyone could talk about. It's great
to hear something we've advocated for years, and that we've implemented
for our clients, finally take over the conference podiums and cocktail
parties. Even if it does seem like a zombie virus has
suddenly infected the retirement investing community.
Why now, though, when the evidence for a real crisis in retirement
savings has been piling up for years? I think people in our industry may
simply feel that they've run out of easy options. And while auto-enrollment
is becoming much more acceptable, by itself it's not going to produce
the results anyone is looking for.
No more goodies left in the bowl
What can sweeten a retirement plan so that more employees
will participate? Not much, according to both experience and quantitative
evidence. A new study
by the Pension Research Council finds that the usual incentives are alarmingly
ineffective: While about 60% of employees surveyed would participate in
any 401(k) plan, only 10% more would sign up to take advantage of an added
employer match - even a generous one. Providing a wider range of investment
options brought mixed results, from a mild increase in participation to
an actual decrease due to decision "overload." And offering liquidity
in the form of plan loans, a risky proposition at best, had no effect
at all.
The authors of the PRC study recommend (you guessed it) auto-enrollment,
as well as mandatory contribution rates and some other, more blue-sky
propositions. We agree, and apparently everyone else does now, too. The
regulatory climate is certainly more favorable. And from a legal perspective,
experts now believe that the greatest risk plan sponsors face as fiduciaries
is the danger of not doing enough to help employees retire comfortably.
(See July's GuidePost for more on the
subject, in case you missed it.)
But what happens after you auto-enroll all your employees?
Danger lurks
Unless the "default settings" for auto-enrollment include an appropriate
level of contributions into something like a managed account, participants
will likely get a very scary surprise at retirement time.
If everything defaults into a money market fund, as commonly happens, the
participant's investment future can be pretty frightening. Even if the default account
is invested in a lifestyle or lifecycle fund, the danger is still there, because these
time- and age-based funds don't look at the participant's whole financial picture.
We've always believed that a managed account solution is the only reasonable
option for the average plan participant - and for the plan sponsor as
well, especially if the provider takes on all fiduciary responsibilty,
as we do. Now it seems the whole world is starting to agree. Awareness
of managed accounts is even showing up in general business articles such
as this
AP story carried by the Cincinnati Post. And within the industry,
a recent story in Plan Sponsor reports that fully 50% of the leading plan
service providers either offer managed accounts or plan to do so within
12 months. Or at least they say they do.
Because we've done it for years for our clients, we know a thing or two about both managed
accounts and coaxing non-participants. As the corporate world prepares to get on the bandwagon,
it's important to remember that all managed accounts are not created equal.
To be as effective as possible, a solution should take into account the participant's
entire financial situation, in some detail. It must rebalance the portfolio regularly and
automatically, and change the asset allocation over time as needs change. The cost must be
reasonable - a sticking point for many potential adopters, but one that smart technology
can alleviate. The technology should be easy to use, and even allow particpants to enroll
without touching the system (as we recently did, moving 30% of a large plan "hands free"
into managed accounts). And of course, the underlying investment methodology must be sound.
Some really scary facts
Speaking of investment technique, many of us are so involved in asset
management that we occasionally need to be reminded of the best way to
boost retirement savings: Saving more money in the first place.
A recent Putnam study offers a sobering perspective. The study looked at the effects
of contribution rate, asset allocation, and mutual fund performance on an "average" 401(k)
plan account over a 15-year period. Guess which had the greatest impact on savings?
Contribution level came out on top, asset allocation second, and fund performance dead last.
According to the study, a portfolio that only held funds in the top quartile beat a
bottom-quartile portfolio by a mere 6% over 15 years, while the difference between
conservative and aggressive asset allocation added up to more than 20%.
So in the end, there really is no silver bullet. This
is good news for werewolves. For the rest of us, it's
a reminder that the basic laws of the retirement universe still apply:
save early, save enough, and invest as professionally as possible.
So don't eat all your candy at once, people!
~~ Sherrie
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